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Poll: Hogan “Dominating” Prospective Opponents

“Hogan’s lead as a Republican in a solidly Democratic state reflects strong approval for his job performance and his ability to portray himself as a moderate while also holding the support of his party.”

The Baltimore Sun
Michael Dresser and Pamela Wood
April 24, 2018

“Gov. Larry Hogan is currently dominating all of his prospective Democratic rivals by double digits … according to a Goucher Poll released Tuesday.

“With a 69 percent job-approval rating, Hogan remains widely popular among Maryland voters, who mostly identify him as a moderate, the poll shows.

“The poll of 449 likely Maryland voters found that Hogan would easily defeat any of the seven major Democratic contenders seeking to challenge him. The winner of the June 26 Democratic primary election will face Hogan in November. …

“At the same time, Hogan’s support among African-American voters could pose a problem for Democrats, Kromer said. The governor is attracting the backing of three out of 10 black voters over most of the major Democrats.

“It’s clear that he has made some inroads in the African-American community, which is not like other Republicans,’ Kromer said. …

“In each matchup, Hogan’s support came primarily from Republicans (more than 80 percent) and from independent voters (more than 40 percent), but he also picked up significant support from Democrats (more than 20 percent). …

“Hogan’s lead as a Republican in a solidly Democratic state reflects strong approval for his job performance and his ability to portray himself as a moderate while also holding the support of his party.

“It seems Republicans like the governor and they plan on voting for him,’ Kromer said. She said even Republicans who now say they are undecided are likely to support Hogan once they see whom the Democrats choose in the June 26 primary.

“The poll found that 69 percent of respondents approve of Hogan’s performance — a gain of 8 percentage points from a February Goucher survey. Twice as many see him as a moderate rather than as a conservative — 51 to 26 percent. …”